If Cheney Needs Someone To Trick Iran Into Starting A War, Fallon Is The
Perfect Guy To Do It.

By TheProgressiveCurmudgeon
Created Feb 4 2007 - 1:08pm

Pundits speculate that Adm. William Fallon was made head of Central Command
because a war against Iran will be a Navy show. In fact, intelligence
sources say he's the perfect guy to trick Iran into starting a war against
the US.

When Pres. Bush named Admiral William Fallon to run Central Command which
includes Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan Washington's chattering classes and the
blogsphere were full of both informed and idle speculation about the real
reason behind the nomination. After all, it was the first time a Navy man
would run the entire US war making apparatus in the world's most volatile
tinderbox.

So, speculation ranged from the punishment theory based on the fact that the
Army had botched Iraq and a guy with no attachment to the debacle was
needed, to the new eyes argument that cited two carrier strike groups will
soon be on station in the Persian Gulf  and a third readying to head that
way -- so with Iran in the White House's bulls eye, a Naval officer was
needed to manage what was likely to be a mostly Navy operation.

While there are elements of truth in the guesses, the real reason is much
murkier and has to do with Fallon's previous postings to NATO and as Deputy
Commander in Chief and Chief of Staff for the US Atlantic command.

If Cheney needs someone who knows how to trick Iran into starting a war,
then Adm. Fallon is the perfect guy to do it, states a former intelligence
officer familiar with Fallon and who asked for anonymity because he was
discussing classified information. At NATO and in the Pentagon, he was
responsible for the Navy's undersea black operations.

NATO, the Navy and the Cold War

It is no secret that the Bush administration, starting with Vice Pres. Dick
Cheney and rippling down throughout the upper echelons of the Pentagon and
State Dept., is stuffed with aging cold warriors left over from the days
when there was one enemy, the Soviet Union. In those simpler and, in many
ways, less dangerous days, all of America's military and technological might
was brought to bear in figuring out ways to check-mate the Soviets.

Perhaps the cleverest development came in the late 1970s and early 1980s,
when defense contractors figured out how to fool navigational aids aboard
Soviet nuclear submarines. Very bright boffins, juju men and techheads
created highly sophisticated computer programs and gadgetry that, somehow,
gave Russian subs false information on their location, the depth of the seas
below them and whose ships and submarines were nearby. Naval intelligence
sources now say that work was well along on a project that would have
enabled the US to reprogram missiles aboard Soviet submarines. Best of all,
the Soviets never knew that the Pentagon was playing with the Russian's
XBox.

The black project worked well in theory, on paper and in simulations, but
the Pentagon wanted to know if it would work in a real-time situation. So,
the Navy played a mischievous little game. In conjunction with NATO's
highest command levels in Brussels, Washington selected a Soviet sub
cruising in the Baltic Sea and decided to find out what would happen when it
flipped the switch.

What happened when the program was activated is that the hapless Russian
nuclear submarine, armed with missiles and a boatload of secrets, that was
chosen for the test lost its bearings and ran aground off the Scandinavian
coast. For the Kremlin, it was a military and public relations nightmare:
There was one of its ships marooned in full sight, its misadventure
photographed daily by the world's media, and unable to free itself. Norway,
which wasn't in on the secret, began a rescue and salvage operation but was
discretely told to stand down by NATO commanders.

Eventually, the submarine was freed but not before the US had collected
computers full of valuable electronic intelligence about the Russian
submarine fleet's capabilities.

Old Dog, Old Tricks

When Adm. Fallon was with NATO as Assistant Chief of Staff, Plans and Policy
for Supreme Allied Commander, Atlantic, he was not only let in on the
secret, he was involved in planning and executing war games that invoked the
high tech strategy. Naval officers and able seamen alike were learning how
to fool the enemy.

It may have been his most important job at NATO, states a retired naval
intelligence officer who served at one time under Fallon and was given
anonymity because he is not authorized to discuss the subject. The tactics
built around the capability are incredibly complex, mostly to mask the fact
that the US Navy can fiddle with any ship's navigation. In submarine
warfare, this becomes an extremely valuable tool.

As it happens, Iran has a small but workable submarine fleet with
well-trained officers and sailors, but with dated computer, navigational and
warfare command equipment. It's the only nation in the region with
submarines as part of its defence forces.

So, it makes sense for Adm. Fallon to be put in charge of the command that
is fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan and would fight Iran. When the
administration decides the time is right, the old seadog would use some of
his old tricks to trigger the war.

According to several intelligence sources in the Pentagon and elsewhere in
the US government, the battle plan calls for the Navy to use its technology
to confuse Iranian submarines and other vessels. In the process, it is hoped
that they will inadvertently create an encounter with the large and growing
US fleet in the Persian Gulf. Once provoked, President Bush would go on
television to say that he has ordered a defensive response to protect the
fleet and American interests and demand Congress expand the 2002
authorization that let him invade Iraq.

Meanwhile, missiles and aircraft stationed on the Persian Gulf fleet would
launch attacks on Iran's seaports, air bases and command and control
facilities while long-range bombers that are now being ferried into Bulgaria
and Romania would go after Iran's nuclear reactors and other known
facilities.

And, as all of the pieces are being moved into place, The White House is
ratcheting up its rhetoric and getting Israel to do the same thing.

Cheney's Deep Involvement

As happened in 2002 during the run-up to the Iraq war, Vice Pres. Cheney is
deeply involved in both the intelligence and operational planning as well as
in making sure that the Defense and State departments are on side  or at
least kept on the sidelines.

Cheney has made at least four secret trips to Langley (where the CIA is
located) to discuss Iran, in the past six weeks insists an intelligence
source. And it's a straight replay of 2002. When he is presented with facts
that contradict his view, he dismisses them and openly criticizes the
analysts who tell him what he doesn't want to hear.

But two things are markedly different in 2007 as opposed to five years ago,
according to this source.

First, the Company isn't going to let Cheney and his senior staff bully them
into either agreeing or shutting up like happened with Iraq, he declares.
Second, the Democrats run Congress and, hopefully, they'll stop the White
House bullshit before it floods the country.

One reason several of the military and intelligence sources quoted in this
story said they are willing to discuss Iran is to prevent what they called
another disaster being blamed on the armed forces and the nation's
intelligence agencies.

We know they (Iran) are a decade away from making even one primitive nuclear
weapon, one of them said. The Israeli's know it, too. It's interesting that
two governments under the gun, so to speak, for military disasters and
deeply unpopularity are teaming up to create a new 'crisis' to re-focus the
public's attention.

Added a high level Army officer with access to Pentagon intelligence who is
clearly distressed about what he sees unfolding, They made us fight in Iraq
when we didn't want to and with a strategy that was doomed to failure from
the start. I'll be Goddamned if we're going to let them (the White House and
civilian leadership in the Pentagon) fuck us again.